Espresso manufacturing in Vietnam is forecast to succeed in the equal of 31 million 60-kilogram luggage within the 2025/26 market yr (October to September), up from 29 million within the earlier yr, in line with the newest USDA estimates.

Robusta stays dominant, with 30 million luggage forecast, whereas arabica accounts for about 1 million. Excessive world costs, favorable climate and expanded use of inputs are driving manufacturing positive aspects, particularly within the Central Highlands.

Complete exports are projected to extend to 27 million luggage, supported by sturdy world demand. Processed espresso exports — each soluble and roasted — are anticipated to succeed in 3.3 million luggage, due partially to rising consumption in different components of Asia. Whereas inexperienced bean exports nonetheless account for about 90% of complete quantity, that share is declining.

Home consumption is anticipated to rise to 4.9 million luggage in 2025/26, reflecting continued city progress, a thriving cafe sector and altering client preferences, notably amongst youthful consumers.

[Note: This is part of a series of DCN stories that will explore USDA FAS annual coffee reports. The information agency typically delivers more than a dozen country-level reports on the coffee sector, each coming from different authors and field offices.]

📉 Export Outlook

• Complete espresso exports are forecast at 27 million luggage, up from 25.8 million in 2024/25.

• Inexperienced bean exports are anticipated to succeed in 23.7 million luggage, pushed by sturdy world demand and improved availability.

• Soluble and roasted exports will develop to three.3 million luggage, up from 2.8 million final yr, as processing investments repay amid elevated demand.

• Vietnam customs knowledge exhibits a 23% year-over-year export decline within the first half of 2024/25 as a consequence of tight home provide and farmer stockpiling.

• Key export markets embody Germany, the USA, Italy, Japan and Spain. Nevertheless, Asian markets like China, Korea, the Philippines and Indonesia are rising export markets for Vietnamese espresso.

• The Philippines, China and Indonesia paid premium costs for Vietnam’s espresso in 2024/25, starting from $4,166 to $4,424 per ton, whereas Italy had the bottom unit worth, at $3,260 per ton.

🌱 Manufacturing and Rising Circumstances

• 2025/26 manufacturing is forecast at 31 million luggage, together with 30 million luggage of robusta and a million luggage of arabica.

• Harvested space is anticipated to broaden to 620,000 hectares, persevering with a decade-long progress pattern.

• The Central Highlands provinces account for 92% of espresso space and 90% of output.

• Yields improved as a consequence of higher costs, favorable climate and elevated fertilizer use.

• The Western Highland Agriculture and Forest Science Institute (WASI), reported that demand for espresso seedlings stays excessive. The institute provided 4–5 million seedlings for replanting in 2024 to enhance high quality and resilience.

• Vietnam’s Ministry of Agriculture and Surroundings requires 19,000 hectares and 11,000 tons of specialty manufacturing by 2030.

☕ Home Consumption

• Consumption is forecast at 4.9 million luggage, up from 4 million in 2024/25.

• Over 500,000 espresso retailers function throughout Vietnam, from road distributors to fashionable chains.

• Takeaway, dwelling brewing and specialty espresso tendencies are increasing, notably amongst youthful, city customers.

• Nestlé, Trung Nguyen and Highlands Espresso have collectively invested $170 million in processing vegetation in 2024–2025 to satisfy rising home and export demand.

🏷️ Costs, Imports and Shares

• Common export worth reached $5,630 per ton in early 2025, up 143% from the earlier yr.

• Home robusta costs topped $4.82 per kilogram, greater than double 2024 ranges.

• Imports are forecast at 800,000 luggage for 2025/26, primarily arabica to produce rising demand for blends.

• Ending shares are forecast at 839,000 luggage, down from 939,000 the prior yr. Excessive costs and money move constraints have led exporters to cut back stockholding.

🏛️ Coverage and Compliance

• Compliance with the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) is a rising precedence, as 41% of exports go to the EU. Firms like Simexco Daklak and EDE Co. have already applied EUDR-compliant traceability methods.

• The report failed to say the deliberate 46% tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump, scheduled to take impact on the finish of July.

• Vietnam’s Ministry of Agriculture is constructing a nationwide espresso database and regional monitoring methods protecting 136,000 hectares of espresso farmland.

For added charts, knowledge and authorities commentary, see the total USDA Espresso Annual Report for Vietnam (Might 2025).

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